Northstar - Defense Decision Intelligence Use Case
Pre-Decision Intelligence& Assurance Use Case
Evaluate risk, consequences, and alternatives before acting. Northstar provides structured, auditable decision support that helps defense organizations make defensible decisions in complex, uncertain environments.
See Northstar Intelligence in Action
Watch how Northstar evaluates a critical defense supply chain decision in real-time. From data ingestion to risk assessment to COA generation—see the complete decision intelligence workflow that defense organizations use to make faster, more defensible decisions with full audit trails.
Searching contractor performance data for Apex Defense Systems
Identified 3 critical dependency risks in the supply chain
Risk assessment matrix showing supplier dependencies with elevated geopolitical and financial risk exposure.
Critical Finding: Primary subcontractor relies on single-source components from high-risk region. Estimated 45-day delay risk if geopolitical tensions escalate. Secondary supplier option available but requires 90-day qualification process.
Generating risk mitigation strategies and alternative COAs...
Structured Scenario Modeling
Northstar uses bow-tie risk logic to model decision scenarios with causes, preventive controls, consequences, and mitigative controls. Every element is scored for effectiveness, creating defensible, structured intelligence that withstands scrutiny.
Supply Chain Disruption ScenarioInteractive Demo
Click any element to edit, drag to reorder, or add new items to explore Northstar's bow-tie modeling
Interactive Scenario Modeling: This is a live example of Northstar's bow-tie risk logic. In the full solution, scenarios are saved, version-controlled, linked to decisions, and integrated with AI-powered COA evaluation and audit trails.
Complete Decision Intelligence Platform
Northstar provides comprehensive pre-decision intelligence capabilities that help defense organizations evaluate risk, consequences, and alternatives before acting—producing defensible, auditable decisions.
Multi-Source Data Integration
Ingest structured and semi-structured data from logistics systems, asset inventories, vendor databases, and historical incident records with read-only access for pilot deployments.
OSINT & Geopolitical Feeds
Integrate open-source intelligence and geopolitical data feeds to enhance decision context and risk awareness.
Intelligent Data Tagging
Automatically tag data by region, asset, vendor, time, and risk category for comprehensive scenario modeling.
Normalized Data Model
Unified data model that standardizes information across disparate sources for consistent analysis and reporting.
Bow-Tie Risk Logic
Model scenarios using structured bow-tie methodology with causes, triggers, central events, consequences, and controls.
Versioned Assumptions
Track and version decision assumptions with linked evidence and data sources for complete auditability.
Multi-Scenario Support
Build and compare multiple scenarios per decision with linked relationships and shared data points.
Preventive & Mitigative Controls
Define and evaluate both preventive controls (before events) and mitigative controls (after events) with effectiveness ratings.
Automated COA Generation
AI generates multiple courses of action (COAs) based on scenario parameters and historical decision patterns.
Multi-Dimensional Scoring
Score COAs across risk exposure, cost, time, readiness impact, and confidence levels with weighted analysis.
Assumption Flagging
Automatically identify weak assumptions, missing controls, and high uncertainty zones that require human review.
Advisory-Only AI
Human-in-the-loop enforcement ensures AI provides recommendations only—no automated command decisions.
What-If Scenario Mode
Clone scenarios, modify variables, and run sensitivity analysis to explore decision alternatives safely.
Side-by-Side COA Comparison
Compare multiple courses of action with risk deltas, confidence indicators, and impact visualizations.
Sensitivity Analysis
Identify which variables have the greatest impact on outcomes to focus decision-making efforts.
Comparison Reports
Generate detailed comparison tables showing risk exposure, cost implications, and readiness impacts across COAs.
Decision Briefs
Generate brief-ready summaries with COA comparisons, risk assessments, and recommendation justifications.
Assumption Logs
Comprehensive logs documenting all assumptions, data sources, and reasoning behind each decision evaluation.
Risk Acceptance Summaries
Document risk acceptance decisions with clear ownership, rationale, and residual risk levels.
Immutable Audit Trail
Time-stamped, versioned decision history with role-based approvals and immutable change logs for oversight.
Ready to Transform Decision-Making?
See how Northstar can help your organization evaluate decisions before execution with structured, auditable intelligence.
Defense Decision Use Cases
Northstar supports critical defense decision-making scenarios across logistics, readiness, vendor management, and training exercises with structured, auditable intelligence.
Assess supply chain disruptions and compare alternate routing or sourcing options with comprehensive impact analysis.
Key Scenarios:
Stress-test readiness assumptions, identify single points of failure, and model contingency scenarios.
Key Scenarios:
Evaluate supplier failure scenarios, assess geopolitical or financial risk, and support procurement decisions.
Key Scenarios:
Run what-if simulations, compare COAs safely, and capture structured lessons learned for continuous improvement.
Key Scenarios:
Built for Defense Decision-Makers
Northstar is designed for strategic planners, logistics officers, readiness leads, and risk teams who need structured decision support with full auditability.
Strategic Planners
Logistics Officers
Readiness Leads
Risk & Assurance Teams
Transform Defense Decision-Making
Northstar delivers pre-decision intelligence capabilities that help defense organizations evaluate risk, consequences, and alternatives before acting—producing defensible, auditable decisions in complex environments.
Logistics Decision Evaluation
Northstar enables defense organizations to assess supply chain disruptions, compare alternate routing or sourcing options, and evaluate readiness impact before making critical logistics decisions.
Model and evaluate the impact of supply chain disruptions across multiple scenarios with real-time data integration.
Compare multiple routing and sourcing options with risk, cost, and time trade-offs clearly visualized.
Assess how logistics decisions affect operational readiness with comprehensive impact scoring and scenario modeling.
Evaluate supplier failure scenarios and geopolitical risks to inform procurement and logistics decisions.
Operational Readiness Planning
Stress-test readiness assumptions, identify single points of failure, and model contingency scenarios to ensure mission-critical capabilities remain available.
Model and stress-test readiness assumptions across multiple scenarios to identify vulnerabilities before they impact operations.
Systematically identify single points of failure and critical dependencies that could compromise mission readiness.
Build and compare contingency scenarios to ensure alternative plans are viable and well-documented.
Identify gaps between required and available capabilities with clear risk and mitigation recommendations.
Vendor & Contractor Risk Assessment
Evaluate supplier failure scenarios, assess geopolitical or financial risk, and support procurement decisions with comprehensive vendor intelligence.
Model and evaluate the impact of supplier failures across critical vendors with detailed consequence mapping.
Integrate geopolitical intelligence to assess vendor risk based on regional stability and threat factors.
Assess vendor financial stability and credit risk to inform procurement and contract decisions.
Generate decision briefs comparing vendor options with risk, cost, and capability trade-offs clearly documented.
Training & Tabletop Exercises
Run what-if simulations, compare courses of action safely, and capture structured lessons learned for continuous improvement.
Create and run what-if simulations in a safe environment to explore decision alternatives without operational risk.
Compare multiple courses of action side-by-side with detailed risk and impact analysis for training purposes.
Capture and document lessons learned from exercises with structured templates and reusable scenario libraries.
Build a library of exercise scenarios that can be reused and adapted for future training and planning cycles.
Enterprise-Grade Security & Performance
Northstar includes advanced security and performance features designed for defense organizations with strict requirements for data protection and system responsiveness.
Get Northstar Today
Northstar is designed for defense organizations that need structured decision support with full auditability. Contact us to learn more about pilot deployments and enterprise implementations.
Pilot Deployment
Start with 3-5 decision scenarios
- 3-5 decision scenarios
- Logistics & vendor risk focus
- Read-only data ingestion
- AI COA scoring
- Decision brief exports
- Pilot-friendly deployment
Enterprise Implementation
Full platform capabilities
- Unlimited scenarios and decisions
- Full data integration capabilities
- Advanced AI evaluation features
- Custom doctrine integration
- Enterprise-grade security
- Dedicated support and training
Not sure which option is right for you?
Book a DemoFrequently Asked Questions
Common questions about Northstar implementation and capabilities
What makes Northstar different from command & control systems?
Northstar is a defense decision intelligence use case that supports human judgment and command authority—it does not execute decisions. The system provides structured evaluation, scenario modeling, and COA comparison to inform decisions, but all decision authority remains with human decision-makers. This advisory-only approach ensures accountability and maintains command structure.
How does the bow-tie scenario modeling work?
Northstar uses structured bow-tie risk logic to model scenarios with causes/triggers, central events, and consequences. Each scenario includes preventive controls (before events) and mitigative controls (after events) with effectiveness ratings. Multiple scenarios can be linked and compared, with versioned assumptions and linked evidence sources for complete traceability.
What data sources can Northstar integrate with?
Northstar can ingest structured and semi-structured data from logistics systems, asset inventories, vendor databases, historical incident records, and OSINT/geopolitical feeds. In pilot deployments, data access is read-only to ensure security and minimize integration complexity. Data is automatically tagged by region, asset, vendor, time, and risk category.
How does AI decision evaluation work?
Northstar AI generates multiple courses of action (COAs) and scores them across risk exposure, cost, time, readiness impact, and confidence levels. The AI flags weak assumptions, missing controls, and high uncertainty zones that require human review. All AI outputs are advisory only—human decision-makers retain full authority and accountability.
What security features does Northstar provide?
Northstar includes role-based access control, data isolation per environment, and encryption at rest and in transit. The system is designed for defense organizations with strict security requirements, supporting secure cloud and private cloud deployments. All access and changes are logged in immutable audit trails.
How quickly can we deploy Northstar?
Pilot deployments can be set up quickly with 3-5 decision scenarios, focusing on logistics and vendor risk. The read-only data ingestion approach minimizes integration complexity. Enterprise implementations include full data integration, custom doctrine integration, and comprehensive training. Contact us to discuss your specific timeline and requirements.
Rapid Implementation
Risk Reduction
Organizations
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